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Delta changing DCC collection time could be 'game-changer'

DCCs are fees collected from land developers to help fund the cost of new City infrastructure. Provincal lwamakers need to amend the legislation to allow municipalities to change the collection times of DCCs.

Delta council last week agreed to have staff conduct a financial analysis on delaying collection of all development cost charges (DCC) to time of issuance of occupancy permits instead of at time of a subdivision application or issuance of a building permit, depending on the land use category.

A motion put forward by Mayor George Harvie notes residential and commercial development activity has significantly stalled because of increases in prices for building materials, skilled labour, higher financing costs and scheduled increases to the City of Delta, Metro Vancouver and TransLink DCCs.

It also asks Housing Minister Ravi Kahlon to consider amendments to applicable legislation to allow local governments to consider changing the time for collections.

Harvie said the change is needed throughout the region to assist the development community to start building.

“What I’ve heard back from the development community is that this would be a game-changer for them, and at the same time not be a financial impact to the city,” he said.

Harvie added the change would not be any kind of subsidy but simply a change in process which would result in reducing “considerable impacts” having to borrow for DCCs before projects can get going.

Council last year approved increased Delta’s DCCs after a lengthy review to reflect new growth projections, development-driven infrastructure projects and current-day construction costs. The previous update was approved in 2017.

Meanwhile, Metro Vancouver is undertaking a review of its DCC program, looking into several areas.

The review is to include collaborating with the development industry, member jurisdictions and the province to explore options to mitigate any potential impacts of the DCC program on residential development, such as extended in-stream protection and the timing of DCC collection.



Source: Sandor Gyarmati Delta Optimist

Photo: Sandor Gyarmati

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Economic Uncertainty Clouds an Otherwise Positive Outlook

BCREA 2025 First Quarter Housing Forecast Update


Vancouver, BC – January 27, 2025. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) released its 2025 First Quarter Housing Forecast Update today.  

Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales in BC are forecast to increase 14.3 percent to 85,140 units this year. In 2026, MLS® residential sales are forecast to strengthen further, rising to 87,670 units.

Although new listing activity has been much stronger than last year, the inventory accumulation in 2024 had much more to do with a prolonged slump in home sales. With active listings returning to more healthy levels across BC, we expect that the market will be able to absorb the coming rise in sales activity without a sharp increase in price. Nonetheless, following a year of flat prices, the average price in BC is projected to rise by 4.5 percent in 2025, driven by a strong recovery in overall housing demand.

“Markets across BC closed 2024 with significant momentum,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “While we are entering 2025 with a high level of optimism and expectations for increased activity, the potential for punishing tariffs on BC exports to the United States presents significant uncertainty for the outlook.”

If you are thinking of buying or selling your principal residence or investing in real estate, reach out, I’m here to help.

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Here’s what you need to know

As of January 1, 2025, the BC Home Flipping Tax is now in effect. REALTORS® need to know this new tax is distinct from the existing federal property flipping tax and specifically targets short-term property sales within British Columbia. 

Here’s how it works: 

  • The tax applies to income from sales of residential properties, presale contracts, or assignments owned for less than 730 days (two years). This includes properties bought before January 1, 2025, if they are sold on or after that date and owned for less than two years.  
  • The rate is 20 per cent for sales within the first 365 days of ownership, gradually decreasing until it is eliminated at 730 days.  
  • This tax applies to any person or entity (individual, corporation, partnership, or trust) selling property within BC, regardless of residency.  
  • Exemptions include certain primary residences, though exemptions are subject to specific conditions and filing requirements. 
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Vancouver home sales surge in October

VANCOUVER — Greater Vancouver Realtors says home sales in the region jumped 31.9 per cent in October compared with the same month last year, marking potential early signs of a long-awaited rebound after the Bank of Canada's four consecutive cuts to its key interest rate.

The real estate board says there were 2,632 sales of existing residential homes last month, which is just 5.5 per cent below the 10-year average after months of tracking approximately twenty per cent below those trends.

It says there were 5,452 newly listed properties, up 16.9 per cent from last year and 20 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average.

The total number of listings stood at 14,477. That's 26.2 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average.

The board's director of economics and data analytics, Andrew Lis, says it was "only a matter of time until signs of renewed strength in demand showed up," as the October sales figures suggest buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines may finally be responding to lower borrowing costs.

The composite benchmark price sat at $1,172,200, down 1.9 per cent from October 2023 and 0.6 per cent from September.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 4, 2024.

The Canadian Press

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Interest Rate Announcement
The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight lending rate this morning by 25 basis points from 4.5 per cent to 4.25 per cent. In the statement accompanying the decision, the Bank noted that growth in the Canadian economy was slightly stronger than expected in the second quarter but showed signs of softer activity through the summer.  Inflation is evolving largely as expected, and the Bank judges the economy to be in excess supply which should put further downward pressure on price growth. 

Focus has shifted from whether the Bank of Canada will lower rates, to how quickly, with some analysts even looking for larger 50bps cuts in the future. The trends to watch over coming months are the state of the Canadian labour market and whether inflation is following the Bank of Canada's forecast. As long as price growth isn't deviating from expectations, and employment is not significantly weaker, we should see continued rate cuts at an orderly 25bps pace until the Bank reaches its neutral range between 2.25 and 3.25 per cent in 2025. 
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The Untapped Market

The Lower Mainland's housing market often overlooks a significant demographic: families. 

While there's a growing trend toward compact living and urban density, the demand for larger units that cater to families' needs remains largely unmet. This oversight not only limits housing options but also represents a substantial missed business opportunity for private sector developers, especially in today’s market.

Families, especially those with children, require more than just a one or two-bedroom apartment.

A three-bedroom unit, like the one in which I reside, offers the necessary space without the excess that comes with a standalone house. It's about meeting the needs of families in terms of bedroom count rather than sheer size.

Not to mention that other needs could be offered as part of the building, and not necessarily in the unit, like a mud room, or stroller parking. This approach not only accommodates larger households, but also fits within the urban fabric, promoting density without sacrificing livability.

Urban living advantages: Terrace vs. backyard

One of the misconceptions developers have is the belief that families won’t give up on the traditional backyard.

In reality, amenities like a terrace or communal outdoor spaces can serve as excellent substitutes. These areas provide opportunities for spending time together as a family, just like a backyard without land inefficiency.

Furthermore, common outdoor amenities facilitate neighbour interactions, strengthening the sense of community. My own experience highlights how such amenities can enrich the urban living experience, offering a balance of privacy and social engagement.

The market potential ignored

This generation (“Millennials”) values efficiency, proximity, and convenience — qualities offered by urban living, but often lacking in the suburbs.

Unlike our parents, who were willing to spend significant time commuting, today's families seek homes that minimize travel time and maximize the quality of life. Living in the city means being closer to work, schools, amenities and social activities, reducing the need for long commutes and enhancing daily efficiency.

Developers often underestimate the market potential of larger units for families. There's a prevailing assumption that only investors can afford pre-construction purchases, leading developers to focus on smaller, more affordable units.

This oversight not only narrows their customer base, but also drives families toward suburban living where larger homes are more readily available, simply because not enough is offered in more urban, central locations.

Market adjustments: The lessons from Uber and Airbnb

Comparing the housing market to other industries, such as Uber and Airbnb, reveals significant market adjustments that have led to their success.

Uber had to convince us that it is safe to get into a car with a complete stranger. Airbnb taught that exact same thing about hosting strangers and staying over at a complete stranger’s home.

Similarly, developers have the opportunity to innovate by recognizing the demand for larger family units within urban environments, and educating their market about the advantages of such a purchase.

To capitalize on this overlooked market, developers must reassess their approach to who their buyers are today. 

The perfect Blue Ocean Strategy

As discussed in the book Blue Ocean Strategy, successful business strategies often involve envisioning what will be taken for granted in the future, but does not exist now, and working towards that vision.

Apartments designed specifically for families fit this criterion perfectly. By recognizing and addressing this gap in the market, developers can not only drive financial success but also significantly contribute to the livability and inclusivity of our cities.

Those who take the lead in this emerging market will address one of the Lower Mainlands greatest opportunities.

Source: Naama Blonder Architect, Urban Designer, Urban Planner | B.Arch, OAA, RPP, MCIP

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INTEREST RATES and INVENTORY

Metro Vancouver home sales down in May while inventory continues to increase

The number of transactions on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) declined in May compared to what is typical for this time of year in Metro Vancouver. This shift has allowed the inventory of homes available for sale to continue to accumulate with over 13,000 homes now actively listed on the MLS® in the region. 

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 2,733 in May 2024, a 19.9 per cent decrease from the 3,411 sales recorded in May 2023. Last month’s sales total was also down 19.6 per cent from the 10-year seasonal average for May (3,398).  

“The surprise in the May data is that sales have come in softer than what we’d typically expect to see at this point in the year, while the number of newly listed homes for sale is carrying some of the momentum seen in the April data,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics said. “It’s a natural inclination to chalk these trends up to one factor or another, but what we’re seeing is a culmination of factors influencing buyer and seller decisions in the market right now. It’s everything from higher borrowing costs, to worries about the economy, to policy interventions imposed by various levels of government.”  

There were 6,374 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver in May 2024. This represents a 12.6 per cent increase compared to the 5,661 properties listed in May 2023 and a seven per cent increase compared to the 10-year seasonal average (5,958).  

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 13,600, a 46.3 per cent increase compared to May 2023 (9,293). This total is also up 19.9 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (11,344).  

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for May 2024 is 20.8 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 16.8 per cent for detached homes, 25.1 per cent for attached, and 22.5 per cent for apartment properties. 

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.  

“With market trends now tilting back toward more balanced conditions, as the number of new listings outpaces the number of sales, we should expect to see slower price growth over the coming months,” Lis said. “Up until recently, prices were climbing modestly across all market segments. But with rising inventory levels and softening demand, buyers who’ve been waiting for an opportunity might have more luck this summer, even if borrowing costs remain elevated.”  

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,212,000. This represents a 2.3 per cent increase over May 2023 and a 0.5 per cent increase compared to April 2024.  

Sales of detached homes in May 2024 reached 846, an 18.9 per cent decrease from the 1,043 detached sales recorded in May 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,062,600. This represents a 5.9 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 1.3 per cent increase compared to April 2024.  

Sales of apartment homes reached 1,338 in May 2024, a 22.7 per cent decrease compared to the 1,730 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $776,200. This represents a 2.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to April 2024.  

Attached home sales in May 2024 totalled 523, a 14 per cent decrease compared to the 608 sales in May 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,145,600. This represents a 5.2 per cent increase from May 2023 and a 0.9 per cent increase compared to April 2024.

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Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement - December 6, 2023
 
 

As expected, the Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 5 per cent this morning. In the statement accompanying the decision, the Bank noted that economic growth stalled through the middle quarters of 2023 and that slowdown in growth is expected to extend into the fourth quarter. As a result, inflationary pressure is easing, though the Bank stated that it is still concerned about risks to the outlook for inflation and wants to see a sustained easing of core inflation in future months.

Given the evidence of a slowing economy and some long-awaited downward momentum in core inflation, it appears likely that the Bank of Canada’s rate-tightening cycle is at an end.  If so, the conversation around Bank of Canada meetings in 2024 will shift toward when the Bank might lower rates and how fast. Given that the Bank’s estimate for its neutral rate is between 2 and 3 per cent, we can expect between 200 and 300 basis points of rate cuts once it is clear that inflation is returning to its 2 per cent target. 

After hitting a 15-year high this fall, Canadian bond yields have been tumbling to finish the year as financial markets process meaningful progress on reducing inflation and the projected end of central bank rate hikes. The five-year Government of Canada bond yield has trended near 3.5 per cent over the last week and if that trend sustains, we will see a meaningful decline in fixed mortgage rates to start 2024.

Our forecast is for the average 5-year fixed mortgage rate to fall to about 5 per cent by the end of 2024, while variable rates will begin falling as the Bank of Canada lowers its overnight rate starting in the first or second quarter of next year. 

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Canadian Housing Starts

Feb - March 15, 2021


Canadian housing starts decreased by 13.5% m/m to 246k units in February at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), following a strong increase of 24% in January. Housing starts decreased in all provinces except for BC. Building activity declined in both the multi-unit (-16%) and single-detached (-9%) segments. Despite February's decline, national housing starts were up by 17% compared to the same time last year. Also, the six-month moving average was still a strong 243k units SAAR. 

In BC, housing starts increased by 21% m/m to 43.5k units SAAR in February, following a decrease of 17% in the previous month. Building activity was up by 39% in the multi-unit segment, while single-detached starts were down by 14%. The rise in the multi-unit segment was led by Vancouver, which reported a 70% increase in multi-unit starts in February. Compared to the same time last year, housing starts were up by 2% in BC. 

The decline in February comes on the heels of a very strong 2020. Also, the level of residential construction activity is still above pre-pandemic levels, reflecting the high demand for housing that we've seen across the country. The value of BC residential building permits was down by 1% in January, led by the multi-unit segment, while permits were up for the single-detached segment.  



For more information, please contact:  
 

Brian White PREA

Team 3000 Realty Ltd

info@brianwhite.ca

1.604.961.4104

 



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Concert begins massive North Vancouver development

North Harbour spans a third of a mile of waterfront and will include 290,000 square feet of commercial space and more than 900 homes on the 12-acre site

February 19, 2021
 
North Harbour is largest North Vancouver development in decades. | Concert Properties
 
North Harbour is largest North Vancouver development in decades. | Concert Properties


A decade after planning began and seven years since it was approved by city council, Concert Properties has started its massive North Harbour waterfront development in North Vancouver, the largest city project in decades.


North Harbour will begin with the development of four buildings at the eastern edge of the community. The first building will include 164 condominiums and townhomes in a nine-storey tower. North Harbour plans include 17 mid-rise residential buildings, alongside approximately 290,000 square feet of retail, restaurants and office space.


As planned, there will be over 700 condominium homes, 110 rental homes in a 10-storey building and 125 seniors housing units, all built under a master plan that could take 10 to 15 years to complete. There will be no light industrial buildings and all of the commercial space will be leased, not sold as strata, according to Brian McCauley, president and CEO of Concert.


Once complete, Concert will manage the 80,000-square-foot rental building at North Harbour. It will join Concert’s portfolio of 27 rental properties across Vancouver, Victoria and Toronto.


The delay in getting construction started on the 12-acre site including specific site engineering. It is the first in North Vancouver to require preloading to nearly five feet (1.5 metres) above the shoreline to mitigate against sea levels rising. COVID-19 added to the the timeline of what Concert expects to be a premier mixed-use development. 

“The direct access to the waterfront is one of the most exciting aspects of North Harbour,” McCauley said in an email to Western Investor. The stepped design of the residential will provide most residents with views of the Inlet and downtown Vancouver.


The site is located at Fell Avenue and Harbourside Drive along the Burrard Inlet shoreline, and in close proximity to the SeaBus station that links to downtown Vancouver. The area is also home to the public Kings Mill Walk Park, which the city is planning to renew and improve.


The first-phase residential buildings are being built to LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Development) Gold standards and the BC Energy Step Code.


While marketing for the first-phase condominium and townhouses begins this spring, pricing has yet to be released, according to Concert. - WI Staff Western Investor

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December 2020


The COVID-19 pandemic has affected almost every aspect of British Columbians’ personal and professional lives. It has accelerated adoption and use of technology as a means of communication and doing business. Nowhere is this truer than in the purchase and sale of real estate.


Technology was already changing the way realtors were conducting daily business. One of the most substantial recent changes relates to how sale contracts and listing agreements are transmitted and executed.


Over the past several years, it’s become more common for not only the preparation, but also the review and execution, of core transaction documents to occur electronically through one of several commercially available web-based computer programs. Buyers and Sellers to a transaction can sign and initial contract documents electronically from their computer, tablet, or phone. The pandemic and resulting social distancing requirements are currently making the use of such programs the rule rather than the exception.


One of the principal benefits of using an electronic signing program is the convenience and safety for both licensee and client. It makes meeting and associated travel, and in some cases printing, scanning and emailing, unnecessary. Realtor and client can create, transmit, or execute documents, solely in electronic form, asynchronously, with a few quick keystrokes, from wherever in the world they are.


However, with these significant benefits come meaningful risks, some of which are not openly obvious. Mitigating these risks requires the realtor to be sensitive to risks and perhaps modify past practices.


Ensuring a buyer or seller understands the documents they are signing is fundamental to a realtor’s professional standards and practice. Before the advent of electronic communication, typically your realtor would sit down with the client, go over the terms of a purchase contract or listing agreement, and through a conversation with them, ensure that they understood what they were offering or agreeing to. The process allowed both realtor and client to review the documents, notice, and or correct any drafting errors which may have crept in. This also allowed an opportunity for more advice and second thought.


Such meetings are invaluable from a risk management perspective. If a dispute develops later with a client as to the content of a document or their understanding of it, you could produce documents setting out the arrangements for the meeting and give evidence that you reviewed the document with the client and explained it to them, and the client was happy with it. This is powerful evidence should a client bring a claim. Faced with such evidence in examinations for discovery, a client will often admit the realtor did meet with them and reviewed and explained the document before they signed it.


When using an electronic signature program, all parties must keep in mind the benefits of such in-person meetings and be sensitive to the records to generate if such a meeting does not occur. Realtors must ensure that there is sufficient communication with the clients by other means, to ensure the client understands what they are offering or agreeing to, and sufficient review of the document, by both you and the client, together, to ensure any errors are caught and corrected.


Errors may creep into contract documents in many ways, some of which are not obvious or unique to the current electronic technology.


It bears repeating, that when preparing an offer or counteroffer, typos may occur. Many people find that typographical errors in documents are difficult to see when the review of the documents are conducted on a computer screen, particularly when they have typed the document, or the material portions of it, themselves.


Technology itself may cause errors. There have been several reports of electronic signing programs picking up old versions of documents created in the MLS Webforms. In some cases, a change in price was not picked up, and the error not caught by the realtor or client before the document was executed and sent to the other party.


Where parties use an electronic signing program, realtors must take into account that the client may be hurried or distracted when receiving a document, and may not, or may not be able to, review it carefully or at all.


Some electronic signing programs, when presenting a document to the client for execution, automatically scroll through the document without providing an opportunity to review, stopping at only the spots identified for initials or a signature. The buyer or seller may not take the time necessary, or be able, to manipulate the program to read the document in its entirety. They may be trying to review a document in small type on their cell phone, and not be able to read it correctly.


The client may assume the licensee has accurately understood and given effect in the document to their (perhaps summary or ambiguous) instructions.


To address these risks, it’s prudent for realtors to review each contractual document carefully: before you send to a client; with a client, while the document is in front of both you and client, by telephone or other means prior to electronic execution; and again, following execution, before you send to the other party. It’s also prudent to print the document at several points to review it in paper form.


To ensure a meaningful review occurs with the client, and is recorded, it is prudent to provide the client with contractual documents by email, and arrange a time to review them, by telephone, or video conference (perhaps using a “screen share” function), in detail, before you transmit them through an electronic signature program for execution. This creates a paper trail to later confirm such a review occurred.


The importance of being sensitive to the record cannot be overstated. All electronic signature programs generate logs, recording the time at which a party opens the document and when it is executed. Smart claimant’s counsel will demand production of these logs in any dispute. It will be impossible to maintain that there was a meaningful review of a document with a client where the log shows that there were only a few seconds between when the document was sent, opened, executed by the client, and returned to the realtor.


It is also prudent, when transmitting a document to a client by email or other electronic means, to include a warning stating that, as typographical errors or errors caused by technology may occur, the document should be reviewed carefully to ensure that it accurately reflects the client’s understandings or instructions.


Incorporating these steps and considerations into practice will provide realtors and their clients with the benefit of current technology, while minimizing the associated risk to all parties.


Source: Scott Cordell, Killam Cordell, Barristers

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IMPORTANT NOTICE

If you are in the process of purchasing or selling a property.

The force majeure clause.

Force majeure translates literally from French as superior force, "force majeure" describes those uncontrollable events such as war, labor stoppages, extreme weather or present day COVID-19 that are not the fault of any party and that make it difficult or impossible to close in time in the terms of the contract or carry out normal business.

An individual or company may consider inserting a force majeure clause into a contract to absolve itself from liability in the event it/they cannot fulfill the terms of a contract or if attempting to do so will result in damages or loss for reasons beyond its control.

If you are negotiating a purchase or sale of property, please protect yourself and seek independent legal advise on the terms and conditions of your contract and purchase and sale.

Please exercise social distancing, washing your hands and self isolation are the best practices to flatten the curve.


My commitment to serving the Real Estate needs to our clients continues. I am open and working.


Communicate with me through voice mail, texting, emails and good old fashioned phone calls. Property viewing can be accomplished by live streaming through platforms such as, Facetime, Whatsapp, Wechat, Skype etc.


If meeting in person is required we will follow the proper guidelines and protocols set out by our real estate board for everyone's safety.

 

Stay safe my friends,

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Buying, selling and even building a home can continue during the COVID-19 pandemic – using reasonable practices, say industry groups

 

Realtors are being strongly discouraged to hold any open houses in light of the COVID-19 pandemic and social distancing requirements, the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) announced March 19.

The board said that it was making “this explicit recommendation today with the support of real estate brokerages, and after an assessment of the latest information and commentary from public health and other government authorities.”

REBGV said that, earlier in the week, it had also “removed the rule requiring that properties listed on MLS be made available for showings.”


Ashley Smith, REBGV president said, “Realtors want to do their part to help prevent the spread of illness in our communities and to meet the housing needs of residents in a responsible way. We’ve heard from some in the community who are unhappy that their Realtors are not holding Open Houses. To those people, we ask for your understanding given the public health crisis we all face today.”


The board said that “anyone looking to buy or sell a home in today’s environment is encouraged to discuss COVID-19 preparedness with their Realtor” and offered some key tips for buyers and sellers. These include:

• If you recently travelled abroad and/or are unwell, do not view a property, and stay home.

• If you’re a seller, talk with your Realtor about alternative approaches to open houses, such as virtual showings and other technology-based solutions.

• If you’re a buyer, only visit a property when others are not present, sanitize your hands before and after a showing, and avoid touching doorknobs and other surfaces in the property.

The REBGV is also offering other tips for buyer and sellers at www.rebgv.org.


Construction must go on

Announced the same day was approval to B.C. construction companies to continue site operations, as the ban on gatherings of more than 50 people does not apply to construction sites, according to the Urban Development Institute.


The UDI said in a March 19 statement that “a senior provincial government official has contacted UDI president and CEO Anne McMullin to assure our industry and membership the 50-person limit does NOT apply to construction sites. The provincial government official confirmed that all sites can and should remain operating… Sites must continue to conform to Worksafe BC practices and current COVID-19 prevention protocols. That means additional handwashing stations should be made available, that workers should maintain their social distance of 1-2 metres from one another and during any on-site meetings.”


The UDI statement added, “In addition, the Provincial Health Officer Dr. Bonnie Henry said during the March 17 news conference… that ‘Construction work outside is not as much of a risk that we are concerned about... but anyone who’s sick should not be going to work.’”

The Homebuilders Association of Vancouver (HAVAN) also sent out a statement March 19 offering advice to construction employers on site safety during the pandemic. 

The dedicated web page, www.havan.ca/covid-19-resources, also has links to various government resources that are helping small businesses during this time, plus a link to a COVID-19 self-assessment tool.

Source: Joannah Connolly Glacier Media Real Estate
March 19, 2020
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March 19, 2020

REBGV strongly recommends no Open Houses
 
With concerns about the spread of COVID-19, the Real Estate Boards strongly recommends that all members refrain from holding Open Houses.
 
The Boards are making this recommendation after consulting with Brokers in the community and assessing the latest information and commentary from public health and other government authorities.
 
“It’s important that all of us in the real estate profession do our part to help prevent the further spread of illness in our communities,” Ashley Smith, REBGV president said. “This is one step we can and should all take immediately as good corporate citizens.”
 
The Real Estate boards are in the process of disabling the Open House feature on Paragon MLS. Members are encouraged to consider other approaches to Open Houses, such as virtual showings and other technology-based solutions.
 
In keeping with the social distancing recommendations from health care officials, realtors are encouraged to use strict control measures to limit the number of people who view a home, require guests to register, sanitize their hands before and after the viewing and encourage guests to avoid opening cupboards, touching doorknobs and other surfaces in the property.
 
Clients are asked not to view or show properties if they, or anyone they live with, has recently travelled abroad or are unwell or not feeling 'quite right'
 
Earlier this week, REBGV removed the rule requiring that properties listed on MLS® be made available for showings.
 
We will continue to assess the COVID-19 situation and provide updates and resources as necessary.
 
Cut and paste these COVID-19 resources
 
• BC Centre for Disease Control
 
http://covid-19.bccdc.ca/

• Provincial and federal governments joint statement

https://www.canada.ca/en/department
finance/news/2019/06/joint-statement--federal-provincial-and-territorial-governments-working-together-to-combat-money-laundering-and-terrorist-financing-in-canada.html

• World Health Organization COVID-19 resources

https://www.who.int/westernpacific/emergencies/covid-19
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Be Careful What You Wish For

 

Careful What You Wish For

 

The Economic Fallout of Housing Price Stocks

 

 

The desire of some well-meaning British Columbians for government to drive down the price of homes through demand-side policies may sound practical at first. However, when you consider the broad and deep economic toll that a downward shock to home prices would exact on both homeowners and renters, it quickly becomes apparent that such an approach is at best, a shell game. BCREA Economics analysis* shows that even a relatively modest negative price shock will produce significant consequences to the BC economy.

 

 Nearly 70 per cent of British Columbians own their home. A relatively minor 10 per cent negative shock to home prices would extinguish $90 billion of their wealth, or $70,000 of the average home owner’s equity. While some may see this as a paper loss, it will have a significant impact on the economy, as declining household wealth reins in consumer spending. Retail sales suffer, with an estimated $1.8 billion in forgone revenue in the first year after the decline.  

  

Home construction activity would fall dramatically. Home builders would cut back production 25 per cent; thats, 10,000 fewer housing starts in the first year alone. A negative price adjustment would markedly slow the expansion of the housing stock, creating even more critical housing supply problems in our market that already sees demand out strippiing market supply.

  

Across the economy, a negative housing price shock will slow growth. Tens of thousands of jobs will be forfeited. The unemployment rate will shoot up. A 10 per cent negative price shock will slow real GDP growth to 1.5 per cent from a baseline of 2.7 per cent. That's$3 billion in lost activity. If home prices fell 35 per cent, a level some activists are championing, the BC economy would collapse into recession. The average home owner would have lost $245,000 in equity, housing starts would fall by half, 64,000 jobs would be forfeited sending the unemployment rate to 7.5 per cent with $4.4 billion in forgone retail sales and a colossal $8 billion loss to GDP in the first year.  

 

This analysis does not account for the negative impact on provincial tax revenues, expanding deficits, ballooning debt and credit downgrade risks.  

  

*Based on simulations using BCREA’s econometric model of the BC economy augmented by a housing Vector Autoregression model.






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Despite slight increases to both active and new build inventory in the Fraser Valley, overall supply in February remained well below the ten-year average for the month historically.

The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board processed 1,385 sales of all property types on its Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in February, a decrease of 0.8 per cent compared to the 1,396 sales in February of last year, and a 14.5 per cent increase compared to the 1,210 sales in January 2018.

Of the 1,385 sales processed last month 336 were townhouses and 379 were apartments, together representing 52 per cent of all transactions in February.

"Attached apartment inventory in particular has struggled to keep up with the shift in demand we saw prominently throughout last year," said John Barbisan, Board President. "Without sufficient supply, it has become increasingly challenging for buyers looking to enter the market at that level."

Active inventory for the Fraser Valley finished at 4,340 listings last month, increasing 9.5 per cent month-over-month, and decreasing 6.6 per cent when compared to February 2017. The 10-year average for February active inventory is 7,487 units.


The Board received 2,293 new listings in February, a 9.6 per cent increase from January 2018’s 2,092 new listings, and a 5.6 per cent increase compared to February 2017.

"With the sales-to-actives ratio for townhomes and apartments at 67 per cent and 75 per cent respectively, sellers can expect interest if they price their homes effectively. Talk to your REALTOR® who can evaluate your local market and find the right price point for success.”

For the Fraser Valley region the average number of days to sell an apartment in February was 13, and 16 for townhomes. Single family detached homes remained on the market for an average of 38 days before selling.


 

The challenge in the market today is managing our existing population as first time buyers come of age and young families looking to move up  to their second home are creating the greatest demand in housing today. Migration, both nationally and internationally also are pushing the demand. Streamlining the approval and building process would help get units to the market faster. Take into consideration a piece of land gets purchased in Delta, in takes 1-4 years for approval and another 2-3 year build out to occupancy. People looking for housing in a particular area have to wait up to 7years for units to be ready. That my friends is an issue.



HPI® Benchmark Price Activity

• Single Family Detached: At $992,100, the Benchmark price for a single family detached home in the Valley increased 1 per cent compared to January 2018, and increased 15.7 per cent compared to February 2017.

• Townhomes: At $531,000 the Benchmark price for a townhome in the Fraser Valley increased 2.2 per cent compared to January 2018, and increased 25.4 per cent compared to February 2017.

• Apartments: At $422,300, the Benchmark price for apartments/condos in the Fraser Valley increased 4.5 per cent compared to January 2018, and increased 46.7 per cent compared to February 2017.



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2018 brings more of the same for Fraser Valley real estate

Fraser Valley housing market activity in January continued on the momentum seen throughout 2017 with year-over-year increases seen for both sales and pricing.


The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board processed 1,210 sales of all property types on its Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in January, an increase of 24 per cent compared to the 976 sales in January of last year, and a 10 per cent decrease compared to the 1,344 sales in December 2017. This was the third highest sales total for a January in the Board’s history, behind only 2016 (1,338) and 1992 (1,270).

Of the 1,210 sales processed last month 281 were townhouses and 338 were apartments, together representing 51 per cent of all transactions in January.

“This will be the third consecutive year of heightened market activity for our region, and we’re starting 2018 exactly where we left off – gradually rising prices, tight inventory, and the dominance of attached home sales," said Gopal Sahota, Board President.

Active inventory for the Fraser Valley finished at 3,962 listings last month, increasing 3.8 per cent month-over-month, and decreasing 10 per cent when compared to January 2017. January’s sales-to-active listing ratio was 31 per cent.


The Board received 2,092 new listings in January, a 63.8 per cent increase from December 2017’s 1,277 new listings, and a 3.9 per cent decrease compared to January 2017.

"Generally, pricing continues to be heavily impacted by ongoing demand and a lack of incoming inventory,” continued Sahota. “While conditions may differ depending on property type and area, it remains a complex real estate environment overall where a thorough understanding of the market and knowing what you’re looking for can make all the difference.”

For the Fraser Valley region the average number of days to sell an apartment in January was 19, and 24 for townhomes. Single family detached homes remained on the market for an average of 46 days before selling.


HPI® Benchmark Price Activity

• Single Family Detached: At $982,700, the Benchmark price for a single family detached home in the Valley increased 0.6 per cent compared to December 2017, and increased 15.1 per cent compared to January 2017.

• Townhomes: At $519,400 the Benchmark price for a townhome in the Fraser Valley increased 1.2 per cent compared to December 2017, and increased 23.4 per cent compared to January 2017.

• Apartments: At $404,100, the Benchmark price for apartments/condos in the Fraser Valley increased 4 per cent compared to December 2017, and increased 44.1 per cent compared to January 2017.



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For a limited time, one of the banking Partners I work closly with is offering the following:

 

18 month non-redeemable term deposit

Rate: 2.25%

Available for new & existing funds

 

3 year escalator term deposit (convertible on anniversary)

1st year: 2.25%

2nd year: 2.50%

3rd year: 3.00%

Effective rate of 2.58% for 3 years


Convertible on an anniversary to a non-redeemable term deposit with an equal or longer maturity date

Available for new & existing funds

 

TFSA Park-It Savings

Rate: 2.25%

Reverts to regular rate schedule effective May 1, 2018

 

RRSP Park-It Savings

Rate: 2.00%

Reverts to regular rate schedule effective May 1, 2018

 

 G&F is also offering 1 year non-redeemable and cashable short term GIC options for members whom are looking for shorter investment time frames. They will work and cater options for all of our members to support their current and long term goals.


The campaign rate options end March 1st 2018.

 

If you have any further questions you can contact,

 

Emilie Cook - Assistant Branch Manager

West Broadway Branch | G&F Financial Group

Phone: 604-549-5421

email: ecook@gffg.com

 

Thinking of buying or selling this spring? This October I celebrated 27 years in real estate & construction industries.  My competitive knowledge base is an advantage you won’t get from any other realtor in the industry. I treat my clients like family, so when you time come, they are comfortable moving forward, and have complete confidence that they have made the right decision.

 

I'm never too busy for any of your referrals.

 

Your Realtor for Life

Brian

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December 8, 2017


Canadian housing starts surged in November, rising 13 per cent from October to 252,184 units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR).  The six-month trend in Canadian housing starts jumped to 226,270 units SAAR, the highest its been in ten years.

The increase in new home construction was concentrated outside of BC, which saw starts decline 16 per cent to a still very strong 45,000 units SAAR in November on a monthly basis. Total starts in BC were up about 4 per cent year-over-year. Single detached starts were up 23 per cent on a monthly basis and 31 per cent compared to November 2016 while multiple starts were down 24 per cent month-over-month and fell 6 per cent year-over-year.

Looking at census metropolitan areas (CMA) in BC: 

  • Total starts in the Vancouver CMA declined from a 12-month high in October, falling 8 per cent. The market is likely close to full-capacity with close to 40,000 units under construction across the metro-Vancouver area.
  • In the Victoria CMA, housing starts fell 17 per cent year-over-year and were down 71 per cent on a monthly basis after a wave of new multiple units in October.
  • New home construction in the Kelowna CMA were up 32 per cent from October and increased 62 per cent year-over-year due to jump in multiple unit starts.
  • Housing starts in the Abbotsford-Mission CMA jumped from just 20 total starts in November 2016 to 169 in November 2017.  On a monthly basis, starts were 45 per cent higher compared to October due primarily to an increase in single-family starts. 

Thinking of buying or selling? This October I celebrated 27 years in real estate & construction industries. Hire me and I will get you the home or property you really want for you and your family. My clients call me innovative, insightful, diligent and direct. All of my competitive knowledge base is an advantage you won’t get from anyone else in the industry. I treat my clients like family, so when you time come, they are comfortable moving forward, and have complete confidence that they have made the right decision.

 

I'm never too busy for any of your referrals.

 

Your Realtor for Life

Brian

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